Pergolettese vs Sasso Marconi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MOD
2 - 1
PER
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PER
5 - 1
CAL
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 2
PER
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
PAV
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 0
PER
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
LEN
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
ASD
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 2
MOD
13%
22%
65%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ADR
1 - 2
ASD
45%
23%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
ASD
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |