Pergolettese vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
JS2
2 - 0
PER
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
PER
1 - 2
PRO
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
PER
3 - 1
PIA
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
AVE
3 - 0
PER
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
CES
3 - 1
PER
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
REG
1 - 2
GEN
6%
15%
79%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MOD
4 - 1
REG
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
REG
3 - 1
FAN
63%
23%
15%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ADR
4 - 2
REG
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
REG
4 - 0
FAN
72%
19%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |