Pergolettese vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 2
PER
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PER
0 - 1
GRU
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PSM
0 - 2
PER
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 3
PER
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PER
1 - 2
PIA
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 3
PSM
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 1
ASS
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 2
PIA
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
INV
1 - 2
ASS
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
FOL
83%
13%
5%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |