Pergolettese vs Bellaria Igea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
USA
3 - 1
PER
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PER
0 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 2
PER
26%
27%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
PER
0 - 1
REN
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 1
PER
63%
22%
16%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
VIN
0 - 4
MAN
26%
24%
51%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VIN
0 - 1
SPA
17%
23%
61%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CUN
2 - 1
VIN
72%
19%
9%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 5
USA
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
REA
2 - 1
VIN
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |