Pergocrema vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
FER
68%
21%
11%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 0
PER
20%
28%
53%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PER
2 - 1
FCS
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LAT
1 - 2
PER
23%
29%
48%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PER
2 - 0
BV5
53%
27%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SIR
0 - 0
USC
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
SIR
26%
26%
49%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SIR
3 - 1
SPE
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TRI
4 - 0
SIR
64%
23%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 0
POR
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |