Pergocrema vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
ASS
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 2
PER
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
SSS
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RAV
1 - 0
PER
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PER
0 - 0
SPA
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 0
UNI
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 1
PRO
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 1
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 1
PRO
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAD
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |