Pergocrema vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
25%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ASS
1 - 1
PER
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PER
4 - 0
LEC
44%
28%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
USC
1 - 1
PER
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PER
3 - 4
ARZ
18%
26%
56%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BEN
0 - 1
PER
66%
22%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PAG
3 - 1
USA
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
COM
3 - 1
PAG
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PAG
1 - 1
ASS
37%
28%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 1
BEN
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACL
2 - 0
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |