Pergocrema vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 0
PER
33%
30%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
USC
0 - 0
PER
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
CES
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
VER
0 - 1
PER
46%
28%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
CES
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VNZ
3 - 1
NOV
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 1
PRO
46%
25%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
USC
44%
24%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |