Pergocrema vs Latina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BV5
0 - 1
PER
37%
29%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PER
1 - 4
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PER
2 - 2
CAR
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 2
PER
37%
30%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
VIR
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 0
LAT
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAT
1 - 0
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SIR
0 - 0
LAT
64%
23%
14%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAT
1 - 2
SPE
25%
27%
48%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
USC
2 - 0
LAT
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |