Pergocrema vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 0
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PER
1 - 2
BIE
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
JES
3 - 2
PER
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PER
3 - 2
LEO
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FSD
1 - 2
PER
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
USI
2 - 1
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 1
VNZ
24%
29%
48%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAS
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |