Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 4-3
CF Peralada vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Peralada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
PER
2 - 0
CDM
44%
24%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CDM
0 - 1
PER
46%
25%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
JUP
1 - 4
PER
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PER
3 - 0
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 1
PER
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
UBC
0 - 0
ANG
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ANG
2 - 2
UBC
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
VRU
4 - 0
UBC
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UBC
1 - 2
ALM
76%
16%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
UBC
14%
21%
65%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |