Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
CF Peralada vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Peralada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
CDM
0 - 1
PER
46%
25%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
JUP
1 - 4
PER
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PER
3 - 0
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 1
PER
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PER
2 - 1
OLO
24%
25%
51%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
CDM
0 - 1
PER
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
CDM
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CDM
0 - 2
STA
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
INT
1 - 1
CDM
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 2
GET
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |