Perak vs Pahang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
13º
11º
45
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
KFA
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
PAH
13%
18%
68%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MPK
0 - 0
PER
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
PDR
0 - 0
PER
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PER
1 - 4
KED
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Pahang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PAH
1 - 1
SAB
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
PAH
13%
18%
68%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SEL
1 - 1
PAH
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
PAH
4 - 1
KEL
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NEG
1 - 1
PAH
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |