PEPO vs JäPS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
8º
3º
17
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PPJ
1 - 1
PEP
31%
22%
47%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
PEP
3 - 1
ATL
50%
22%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 1
PEP
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PEP
2 - 0
FCK
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
NJS
3 - 3
PEP
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
JäPS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MYP
4 - 1
JAP
61%
18%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 2
NJS
42%
23%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
PPJ
5 - 1
JAP
45%
21%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
JAP
4 - 2
GRI
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +4 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 1
FCR
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |