PEPO vs Futura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
11º
7º
19
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
PKK
3 - 1
PEP
26%
20%
54%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PEP
0 - 3
KLU
32%
24%
45%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
NJS
2 - 2
PEP
14%
17%
70%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PEP
1 - 0
TPS
71%
15%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FCK
4 - 1
PEP
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Futura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FUT
0 - 3
FCR
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FUT
1 - 4
NJS
61%
20%
20%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
TPS
1 - 1
FUT
51%
20%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
FUT
4 - 1
FCK
24%
23%
53%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +4 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
PPJ
1 - 1
FUT
58%
19%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |