PEPO vs Kiffen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
8º
3º
26
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
NJS
3 - 3
PEP
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
3 - 2
FUT
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
1 - 5
KUO
9%
17%
74%
|
41 | 76 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
0 - 1
GRI
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
1 - 0
JBK
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Kiffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
4 - 0
JAP
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
FCK
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 0
FCR
19%
24%
57%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +4 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 2
PEP
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
GRI
3 - 1
FCK
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |