Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 0-9
Pepeganga Margarita vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
75.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pepeganga Margarita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1990 |
PRO
2 - 0
PEP
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 69 | 48 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1990 |
DEF
1 - 0
PEP
88%
10%
2%
|
21 | 73 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
PEP
2 - 1
MIN
10%
19%
71%
|
20 | 70 | 50 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
PEP
1 - 0
DEF
11%
21%
68%
|
19 | 73 | 54 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1990 |
PEP
1 - 0
PRO
10%
20%
70%
|
18 | 69 | 51 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1990 |
FER
2 - 0
IND
25%
31%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1990 |
IND
0 - 0
VEL
66%
22%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
ESP
0 - 2
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
53%
26%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1990 |
CEN
2 - 1
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |