Peoria vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PEO
1 - 0
MIC
24%
22%
54%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PEO
5 - 5
DES
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PEO
2 - 0
THU
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 4
PEO
11%
16%
72%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PEO
2 - 2
DES
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 2
TUC
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
TUC
1 - 0
VEN
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TUC
3 - 2
FLA
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
TUC
1 - 1
CFC
86%
9%
5%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
TUC
2 - 0
AMS
85%
10%
5%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |