Penzugyor vs Tiszaföldvár analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+3104%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
15º
15º
17
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 65 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 61 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 38 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 35 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 31 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
44% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 17 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
17.5% | 71% |
|
Relegation
|
82.5% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penzugyor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KTE
3 - 1
PEN
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CGF
1 - 1
PEN
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
HOD
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BDP
4 - 1
PEN
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
SZO
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Tiszaföldvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TIS
1 - 1
HOD
20%
20%
59%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BDP
3 - 0
TIS
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TIS
4 - 0
SZO
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +4 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ESM
0 - 0
TIS
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MLS
2 - 0
TIS
83%
11%
7%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |