Penzugyor vs Budapest Honvéd II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
13º
13º
34
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penzugyor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
MLS
3 - 1
PEN
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
FUZ
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KTE
3 - 3
PEN
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
MON
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
SZO
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Budapest Honvéd II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
HON
8 - 0
CEG
87%
10%
4%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HOD
2 - 1
HON
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HON
2 - 2
BDP
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MSK
2 - 2
HON
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HON
1 - 0
SCG
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |