Penzugyor vs ESMTK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
62.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
13º
13º
65
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penzugyor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
BKV
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
DAB
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HON
3 - 3
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
MLS
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FUZ
1 - 0
PEN
28%
25%
47%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CEG
1 - 3
ESM
9%
16%
75%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HOD
2 - 2
ESM
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ESM
1 - 2
BDP
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ESM
0 - 4
MTK
7%
13%
80%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MSK
1 - 2
ESM
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |