Penzugyor vs Dabas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
15º
15º
8
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 65 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 61 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 38 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 35 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 31 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
44% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 17 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
17.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
82.5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penzugyor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
PEN
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
TIS
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KTE
3 - 1
PEN
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CGF
1 - 1
PEN
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
HOD
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dabas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
DAB
0 - 2
HOD
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BDP
1 - 1
DAB
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DAB
0 - 1
SZO
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 0
DAB
81%
14%
6%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DAB
2 - 1
MLS
25%
20%
55%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |