Penydarren BGC vs South Gower analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penydarren BGC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 3
CWM
32%
21%
47%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
TRE
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
SUF
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
YAF
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PON
6 - 0
PEN
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |