Penydarren BGC vs Cwmbran Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
46.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penydarren BGC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
TRE
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
SUF
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
YAF
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PON
6 - 0
PEN
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
CWM
50%
21%
30%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
CWM
2 - 1
ABE
69%
16%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 3
CWM
37%
21%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
CWM
82%
13%
5%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CWM
6 - 0
PON
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CWM
1 - 4
LID
32%
21%
46%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |