Penycae FC vs Rhos Aelwyd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
60.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penycae FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 4
GUI
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TBC
1 - 5
PEN
7%
12%
81%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CPD
3 - 3
PEN
8%
13%
80%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 4
AIR
9%
15%
77%
|
19 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FLI
6 - 0
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Rhos Aelwyd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 0
AEL
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RHY
3 - 0
AEL
88%
8%
3%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +16 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CAE
4 - 1
AEL
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AEL
2 - 3
PEN
16%
19%
66%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AEL
2 - 2
FLI
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |