Penycae FC vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penycae FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TBC
1 - 5
PEN
7%
12%
81%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CPD
3 - 3
PEN
8%
13%
80%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 4
AIR
9%
15%
77%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FLI
6 - 0
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 3
CAE
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
0 - 1
GUI
32%
25%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 1
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 2
HOL
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 1
GUI
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
RTW
0 - 1
GUI
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |