Penybont vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
7 - 0
UND
87%
10%
3%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 2
PEN
62%
21%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TNS
6 - 0
LUF
92%
6%
2%
|
68 | 8 | 60 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
TNS
1 - 0
FLI
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HAV
0 - 1
TNS
12%
18%
70%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TNS
5 - 3
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 4
TNS
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |