Penybont vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 2
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAE
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 3
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
1 - 0
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
TNS
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
0 - 0
CAE
66%
19%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
1 - 4
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 2
TNS
29%
23%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
1 - 0
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |