Penybont vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
83%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.1%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HAV
0 - 4
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 1
NEW
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 5
BAL
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
PEN
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 0
NEW
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TNS
10 - 0
FLI
91%
7%
2%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAE
0 - 4
TNS
12%
18%
71%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
B36
2 - 2
TNS
36%
22%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |