Penybont vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
PEN
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 2
PEN
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
ABE
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 2
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
TAF
2 - 1
LLA
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
TAF
7%
14%
80%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
UND
0 - 1
TAF
28%
22%
51%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
TAF
2 - 1
BRI
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CWM
0 - 3
TAF
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |