Penybont vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
CON
13%
23%
64%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
AIR
1 - 2
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 3
CEF
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 3
TNS
6%
14%
80%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CON
2 - 2
POR
46%
22%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
POR
46%
22%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 0
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
RHY
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
POR
4 - 1
GRE
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +2 |