Penybont vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 0
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 3
TNS
30%
24%
47%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 2
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAE
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
CON
4 - 0
CAE
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
TNS
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 1
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
1 - 4
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |