Penybont vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 2
PEN
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FLI
3 - 1
PEN
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 3
CAR
18%
25%
58%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEF
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 1
FLI
16%
22%
63%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 5
NEW
13%
20%
66%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CON
4 - 0
CEF
82%
14%
4%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | -1 |