Penybont vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BAL
4 - 1
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 2
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 4
TNS
5%
12%
83%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HAV
0 - 4
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 1
NEW
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
CEF
78%
15%
6%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 2
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 4
ABE
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 5
CON
17%
25%
58%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |