Penybont vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAR
22%
22%
55%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 0
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CEF
2 - 3
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAE
20%
22%
59%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAR
44%
23%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
7 - 1
CAR
71%
19%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
AIR
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAR
44%
23%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
PEN
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
17%
21%
62%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |