Penybont vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
53.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
BAR
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
PEN
4 - 1
GOY
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 1
PEN
74%
16%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 3
PEN
7%
12%
81%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
PEN
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAR
9%
14%
77%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRO
27%
22%
51%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAR
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |