Penybont vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
CEF
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BAL
4 - 1
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 2
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +3 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 4
TNS
5%
12%
83%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HAV
0 - 4
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 1
BAL
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 4
HAV
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAE
28%
24%
49%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |