Penybont vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TNS
3 - 3
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
CAE
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
FLI
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 2
TAF
84%
12%
5%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
PEN
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 2
FLI
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
BAL
42%
25%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 2
ABE
74%
16%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 1
ABE
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |