Penybont vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
6º
3º
0
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
PEN
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
PEN
16%
24%
61%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 1
PEN
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 8
TNS
10%
19%
71%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
TNS
7 - 0
AIR
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 1
AIR
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
CON
14%
24%
62%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
HAV
29%
23%
48%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |