Penya Independent vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 2
TCF
34%
28%
39%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SDF
3 - 0
PIN
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 0
RCD
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LLE
3 - 1
PIN
63%
23%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 0
BAD
16%
24%
61%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
IZA
1 - 0
SDF
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SDF
0 - 1
IZA
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CER
0 - 2
SDF
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SDF
3 - 0
PIN
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AND
0 - 0
SDF
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |