Penya Independent vs Santa Gertrudis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
PIN
8%
14%
78%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
INT
2 - 1
PIN
17%
18%
65%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 1
INT
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 2
PDE
88%
8%
4%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PDE
0 - 4
PIN
10%
15%
75%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Gertrudis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
PIN
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SAN
5 - 2
PES
75%
14%
11%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
PES
1 - 3
SAN
32%
21%
47%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BSA
2 - 3
SAN
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
BSA
69%
16%
15%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |