Penya Independent vs Puig d'en Valls analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.4%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
12%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.4%
2.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PIN
7 - 1
PES
92%
6%
2%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
PES
1 - 6
PIN
5%
11%
84%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
BSA
1 - 6
PIN
4%
11%
85%
|
28 | 5 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PIN
3 - 0
PDE
89%
8%
3%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 3
PIN
5%
12%
83%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Puig d'en Valls
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PES
2 - 0
PUI
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PUI
3 - 4
PES
73%
15%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PUI
3 - 1
BSA
78%
13%
9%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BSA
2 - 4
PUI
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
IBI
1 - 1
PUI
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |