Penya Independent vs Manacor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
3º
1º
2
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
6 | 75 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 72 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 70 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 56 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 55 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 53 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 49 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 47 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 39 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 35 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 34 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 33 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
43% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
53.5% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PIN
4 - 2
JOR
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 3
PIN
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MNC
1 - 1
PIN
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 1
PXD
24%
22%
54%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 0
SDF
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Manacor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
MNC
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MNC
0 - 0
POR
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MNC
1 - 1
PIN
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MNC
1 - 0
CFP
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ATB
3 - 0
MNC
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |