Penya Independent vs Pla de Na Tesa Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+169%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
18º
17º
28
7º
17º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 76 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 60 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 59 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 59 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 35 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 33 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 28 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
67% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CEC
1 - 0
PEN
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 1
PLA
24%
22%
54%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
PEN
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 2
IBI
28%
21%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
PEN
66%
18%
17%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pla de Na Tesa Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 1
PNT
29%
22%
50%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PNT
2 - 3
PLM
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
PNT
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PNT
4 - 2
SAN
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MAH
0 - 2
PNT
38%
22%
40%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |