Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
53
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
PEN
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 3
ATL
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
UEE
63%
19%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SJU
1 - 2
PEN
31%
23%
46%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 1
UES
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
FC Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SCO
4 - 0
SJU
74%
18%
8%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
UES
0 - 0
SCO
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 1
FCO
74%
18%
8%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UEE
0 - 7
SCO
12%
22%
67%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
INT
0 - 0
SCO
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |