Penya Encarnada vs Sant Julià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
16
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UEE
1 - 0
PEN
32%
22%
46%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
INT
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 2
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
FCS
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FCO
2 - 0
PEN
34%
21%
46%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SJU
3 - 2
FCO
41%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
6 - 1
SJU
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UEE
2 - 0
SJU
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SJU
0 - 6
INT
15%
23%
63%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SJU
0 - 3
INT
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |