Penya Encarnada vs Inter Escaldes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
61
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 2
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
FCS
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FCO
2 - 0
PEN
34%
21%
46%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 4
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SJU
2 - 3
PEN
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Inter Escaldes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
FCO
75%
16%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SJU
0 - 6
INT
15%
23%
63%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SJU
0 - 3
INT
14%
20%
66%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
INT
26%
24%
51%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
INT
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |