Penya Encarnada vs Pas de la Casa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
8º
8º
22
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 56 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 45 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 37 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 32 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 32 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 13 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 10 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
INT
5 - 1
PEN
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 6
FCR
60%
20%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UES
2 - 1
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCO
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 1
PEN
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pas de la Casa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 0
SCO
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 1
INT
25%
24%
50%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 2
PAC
28%
23%
50%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 0
FCR
47%
21%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 4
PAC
38%
23%
40%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |