Penya Encarnada vs FC Ordino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
8º
8º
18
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 56 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 45 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 37 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 32 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 32 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 13 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 10 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 1
PEN
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 1
ESA
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 3
PEN
16%
18%
66%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 3
INT
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
PEN
12%
17%
71%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Ordino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCO
0 - 4
INT
12%
20%
69%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 0
FCO
36%
23%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCO
0 - 2
UES
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 2
FCO
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FCO
1 - 1
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |