Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
8º
8º
1
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 56 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 45 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 37 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 32 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 32 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 13 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 10 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 37% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 62% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 3
PEN
16%
18%
66%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 3
INT
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
PEN
12%
17%
71%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 2
ESA
72%
16%
13%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AME
1 - 4
PEN
14%
18%
69%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Esperança d'Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 3
INT
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
4 - 0
ESA
61%
18%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 2
ESA
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 4
FCO
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 2
ESA
72%
16%
13%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |